Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Ostia Mare		UniPomezia

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	5.25
	1.5	3.85	5.35
	1.48	4.01	5.89	Watch
	1.46	3.9	6.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.4)	3.89 ↓ (4.38)	5.69 ↓ (6.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostia Mare
60.9%

Draw
23.2%

UniPomezia
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

20.8%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

22.4%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostia Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

UniPomezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ostia Mare, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UniPomezia than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Ostia Mare - UniPomezia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 1 - 0, Cardella F. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 10).

Ostia Mare is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

UniPomezia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

UniPomezia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ostia Mare is a strong favorite.

We predict that Ostia Mare will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ostia Mare won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
01.03.26	Ostia Mare - Castelfidardo	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Fossombrone - Ostia Mare	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Ostia Mare - Recanatese	4:1 ✺
08.02.26	Sora - Ostia Mare	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Ostia Mare - Atletico Ascoli	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWTT
- ASD UniPomezia
Italian Serie D - Group F
15.03.26	UniPomezia - Atletico Ascoli	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Recanatese - UniPomezia	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	UniPomezia - Ancona	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	San Marino Calcio - UniPomezia	0:4 ✺
08.02.26	UniPomezia - L Aquila	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
09.11.25	UniPomezia - Ostia Mare	0:2

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