Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 27

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Fossombrone		Sammaurese

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.6	4.95
	1.59	3.7	5.14	Watch
	1.58	3.6	5.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.57)	3.63 ↓ (3.78)	5.11 ↑ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fossombrone
57.3%

Draw
25%

Sammaurese
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

24%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

22.7%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fossombrone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Sammaurese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sammaurese than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Fossombrone - Sammaurese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+6', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, Fossombrone is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fossombrone won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Fossombrone	6	3	1	2	6:9	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fossombrone
Italian Serie D - Group F
01.03.26	Notaresco - Fossombrone	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Fossombrone - Ostia Mare	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Teramo - Fossombrone	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Vigor Senigallia - Fossombrone	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Fossombrone - Sora	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLTT
- AC Sammaurese
Italian Serie D - Group F
01.03.26	Sammaurese - Teramo	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Vigor Senigallia - Sammaurese	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Sammaurese - Sora	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Giulianova - Sammaurese	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	Sammaurese - Maceratese	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
02.11.25	Sammaurese - Fossombrone	0:1

Fossombrone - Sammaurese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide