Match Info

Date: 21 July 2021, Wednesday


	Sampaio Corrêa FE		Duque de Caxias

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4.1
	1.7	3.55	3.8
	1.7	3.5	3.9
	1.7	3.6	4
	1.72	3.68	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.71)	3.59 ↓ (3.7)	4.02 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa FE
52.7%

Draw
25%

Duque de Caxias
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

24.8%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

20.3%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa FE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Duque de Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampaio Corrêa FE, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duque de Caxias than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

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Preview

Recent matches Sampaio Corrêa FE is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Duque de Caxias is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Sampaio Corrêa FE have a series of guest games.

In this match Sampaio Corrêa FE is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa FE won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa FE
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
17.07.21	Petrópolis - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:0 ✺
26.06.21	Maricá - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:0 ✺
19.06.21	Sampaio Corrêa FE - America RJ	2:2 ✺
16.06.21	Macaé - Sampaio Corrêa FE	0:4 ✺
12.06.21	Angra dos Reis - Sampaio Corrêa FE	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTWW
- Duque de Caxias
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
17.07.21	Duque de Caxias - Macaé	0:0 ✺
26.06.21	Cabofriense - Duque de Caxias	3:2 ✺
19.06.21	Friburguense - Duque de Caxias	1:0 ✺
16.06.21	Duque de Caxias - Petrópolis	2:2 ✺
13.06.21	Artsul - Duque de Caxias	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
18.11.20	Duque de Caxias - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:0
21.10.20	Duque de Caxias - Sampaio Corrêa FE	0:1

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