Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca 2 - Round 11

Date: 31 July 2024, Wednesday


	Artsul		Duque de Caxias

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.8	2.5
	2.63	2.71	2.65
	2.75	2.84	2.68	Watch
	2.66	2.83	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.95)	2.8 ↓ (3)	2.62 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Artsul
33.5%

Draw
32.2%

Duque de Caxias
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

30.2%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

30.1%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Artsul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Duque de Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Artsul than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duque de Caxias than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Artsul - Duque de Caxias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Carioca B1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Duque de Caxias is Qualified for Carioca 2 (Play Offs Semi~finals)

Artsul is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Duque de Caxias is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Artsul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Artsul won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Artsul won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Artsul FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
13.07.24	Petrópolis - Artsul	0:0 ✺
06.07.24	Artsul - Americano Rio de Janeiro	1:1 ✺
29.06.24	Olaria - Artsul	4:2 ✺
26.06.24	Artsul - Audax Rio	0:3 ✺
15.06.24	Maricá - Artsul	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTLLT
- Duque de Caxias
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
20.07.24	Duque de Caxias - Maricá	0:1 ✺
13.07.24	Cabofriense - Duque de Caxias	1:2 ✺
06.07.24	Duque de Caxias - Resende	0:1 ✺
29.06.24	Petrópolis - Duque de Caxias	1:2 ✺
22.06.24	Duque de Caxias - America RJ	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
13.06.21	Artsul - Duque de Caxias	1:1
31.10.20	Artsul - Duque de Caxias	1:1

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