Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca 2 - Round 9

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday


	Cabofriense		Duque de Caxias

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.8	2.35
	3.23	2.71	2.46
	3.11	2.8	2.44	Watch
	3.12	2.79	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.63)	2.78 ↓ (3)	2.41 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cabofriense
29.4%

Draw
32.8%

Duque de Caxias
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

29.9%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

30.9%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cabofriense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Duque de Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cabofriense than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cabofriense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duque de Caxias than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Cabofriense - Duque de Caxias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Cabofriense
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
06.07.24	Cabofriense - Petrópolis	0:0 ✺
29.06.24	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Cabofriense	1:0 ✺
23.06.24	Cabofriense - Olaria	1:2 ✺
19.06.24	Audax Rio - Cabofriense	2:1 ✺
12.06.24	Cabofriense - Maricá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLT
- Duque de Caxias
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
06.07.24	Duque de Caxias - Resende	0:1 ✺
29.06.24	Petrópolis - Duque de Caxias	1:2 ✺
22.06.24	Duque de Caxias - America RJ	1:0 ✺
15.06.24	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Duque de Caxias	0:1 ✺
08.06.24	Duque de Caxias - Araruama	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
26.06.21	Cabofriense - Duque de Caxias	3:2
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
02.02.14	Cabofriense - Duque de Caxias	2:1

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