Match Info

ITALY: Serie A Women - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio La Sciorba (Genoa)

Referee: Picardi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Sampdoria		Napoli

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.1	2.6
	2.42	3.1	2.75
	2.66	3.43	2.43
	2.42	3.12	3.01	Watch
	2.32	3.08	2.92	Watch
	2.42	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.22)	3.16 ↑ (3.1)	2.74 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
37.6%

Draw
29%

Napoli
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

29.1%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

27.8%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Sampdoria - Napoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Larsen K. (G) 26. Bertucci S. 23. Pisani E. 11. Heroum N. 3. Nano M. 44. Barbieri A. 14. Pellegrino C. G. 21. Re C. 40. Fallico B. 7. Arcangeli N. 17. Llopis Alvarez M.	1. Beretta B. (G) 2. Skovsen M. 4. Sliskovic G. 44. Pettenuzzo T. 67. Giordano M. 13. Muth N. R. 8. Breitner S. 23. Bellucci M. 28. Moretti G. 9. Kullashi L. 19. Sciabica M.
Substitutes
24. Baldi S. 8. Bercelli K. 18. Burbassi G. 4. Colombo S. 72. Di Vittorio I. 10. Evans M. 36. Nespolo S. (G) 32. Pittaccio F. 20. Rosignoli S. 35. Zilli E.	12. Andrup K. 24. D'Angelo A. 21. Di Giammarino V. 14. Holme M. 11. Jelcic M. 90. Langella G. 25. Manzo A. 33. Pellinghelli A. 27. Santoro E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Muth N. R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Pisani E. 🟨,
60', Llopis Alvarez M. ↓, Baldi S. ↑,
69', Muth N. R. ↓, Di Giammarino V. ↑,
69', Kullashi L. ↓, Jelcic M. ↑,
77', Giordano M. ↓, Santoro E. ↑,
79', Arcangeli N. ↓, Burbassi G. ↑,
82', Moretti G. ↓, Andrup K. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 2.

Sampdoria is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Napoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sampdoria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:3 (average 0.8:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Sampdoria won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 0.8:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria Women
Italian Serie A Women
01.03.25	Lazio - Sampdoria	3:0 ✺
09.02.25	Sampdoria - Sassuolo	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	Roma - Sampdoria	4:0 ✺
26.01.25	Napoli - Sampdoria	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Sampdoria - Milan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LLLWT
- Napoli Femminile
Italian Serie A Women
08.03.25	Napoli - Lazio	0:4 ✺
02.03.25	Sassuolo - Napoli	3:1 ✺
09.02.25	Napoli - Como	4:2 ✺
02.02.25	Juventus - Napoli	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
29.01.25	Roma - Napoli	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 74.2 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Women
26.01.25	Napoli - Sampdoria	0:1
Coppa Italia Women
06.11.24	Napoli - Sampdoria	1:0
Italian Serie A Women
19.10.24	Sampdoria - Napoli	0:0
05.05.24	Sampdoria - Napoli	2:0
30.03.24	Napoli - Sampdoria	2:0
20.01.24	Sampdoria - Napoli	0:0
14.10.23	Napoli - Sampdoria	0:2

Sampdoria - Napoli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide