Match Info

ITALY: Primavera 1 - Round 28

Date: 8 April 2024, Monday


	Sampdoria U19		Milan U19

	1	X	2
	4	3.6	1.68
	4.16	3.97	1.74
	4.16	3.97	1.75
	3.5	3.6	1.75
	3.97	3.8	1.72
	3.9	3.75	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (2.86)	3.78 ↑ (3.6)	1.73 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria U19
23.1%

Draw
24.1%

Milan U19
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

25.3%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

24.8%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sampdoria U19's form might have worsened.

Milan U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milan U19's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria U19 than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampdoria U19, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan U19 than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milan U19, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Scardigno N. (G) 13. Malanca L. 26. D'amore F. 15. Lotjonen A. 31. Langella M. 8. Conti F. 4. Valisena N. 5. Uberti N. 22. Alesi G. 10. Leonardi S. 9. Lukisa S.	1. Raveyre N. (G) 2. Bakoune A. 6. Nsiala C. 5. Simic J. 3. Bartesaghi D. 8. Stalmach D. 4. Malaspina M. 17. Scotti F. 18. Zeroli K. 11. Sia D. 9. Camarda F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Alesi G. ⚽,
31', Camarda F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bartesaghi D. ↓, Magni V. ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Leonardi S. ⚽,
61', Sia D. ↓, Liberali M. ↑,
61', Bakoune A. ↓, Bonomi A. ↑,
69', Leonardi S. ↓, Genovese M. ↑,
69', Lukisa S. ↓, Polli L. ↑,
70', Camarda F. ↓, Simmelhack A. ↑,
80', Malanca L. ↓, Buyla H. ↑,
81', Scotti F. ↓, Skoczylas M. ↑,
86', Zeroli K. 🟨,
87', Alesi G. ↓, Chilafi A. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampdoria U19 won 2.

Sampdoria U19 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Milan U19 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Milan U19 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Sampdoria U19 won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampdoria U19 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria U19
Italian Primavera 1
01.04.24	Lazio U19 - Sampdoria U19	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Sampdoria U19 - Verona U19	1:2 ✺
10.03.24	Frosinone U19 - Sampdoria U19	4:0 ✺
02.03.24	Cagliari U19 - Sampdoria U19	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Sampdoria U19 - Monza U19	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLTT
- Milan U19
Italian Primavera 1
01.04.24	Juventus U19 - Milan U19	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Milan U19 - Lazio U19	2:0 ✺
UEFA Youth League
13.03.24	Milan U19 - Real Madrid U19	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Primavera 1
09.03.24	Verona U19 - Milan U19	1:0 ✺
04.03.24	Milan U19 - Fiorentina U19	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Primavera
01.11.23	Sampdoria U19 - Milan U19	2:3
Italian Primavera 1
29.10.23	Milan U19 - Sampdoria U19	2:1
15.02.23	Milan U19 - Sampdoria U19	1:1
26.08.22	Sampdoria U19 - Milan U19	2:1
16.04.22	Milan U19 - Sampdoria U19	1:4
11.12.21	Sampdoria U19 - Milan U19	0:2
29.05.21	Milan U19 - Sampdoria U19	0:2

Sampdoria U19 - Milan U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide