Match Info

ITALY: Primavera 1 - Round 8

Date: 21 October 2024, Monday

Location: Campo Sportivo Tre Campanili (Bogliasco)


	Sampdoria U20		Fiorentina U20

	1	X	2
	4.52	4.12	1.66
	4.51	4.1	1.67	Watch
	4.39	3.94	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↑ (3.04)	4.05 ↑ (3.56)	1.65 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria U20
20.8%

Draw
22.9%

Fiorentina U20
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

25.9%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

25.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sampdoria U20's form might have worsened.

Fiorentina U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorentina U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria U20 than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampdoria U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina U20 than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sampdoria U20 - Fiorentina U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Scardigno N. (G) 5. Zeqiraj L. 4. Malanca L. 6. D'amore F. 23. Thiago 8. Patrignani G. 14. Valisena N. 11. Ovalle Santos A. 17. Ofoma C. 10. Leonardi S. 9. Lukisa S.	22. Leonardelli P. (G) 19. Trapani N. 60. Kouadio E. 5. Sadotti E. 17. Romani L. 8. Harder J. 16. Keita B. 73. Presta F. 11. Rubino T. 36. Caprini M. 24. Braschi R.
Substitutes
30. Bacic M. 18. Casalino T. 26. Cavallaro M. 22. Ceppi L. (G) 24. Chiesa L. 21. Forte G. 19. Giolfo M. 28. Papasergio A. 27. Rossello S.	. Angiolini G. . Bertolini G. 21. Deli L. 25. Elia M. 15. Evangelista C. 30. Fei G. (G) 4. Gudelevicius E. 10. Ievoli M. 7. Lamouliatte H. 31. Scuderi G. 1. Vannucchi T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Patrignani G. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Leonardi S. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Braschi R. ⚽,
43', Thiago 🟨,
45+1', Malanca L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 1 - 2, Rubino T. (Pen),
57', Patrignani G. 🟨,
59', 1 - 3, Rubino T. ⚽,
60', Thiago ↓, Casalino T. ↑,
60', Ofoma C. ↓, Forte G. ↑,
63', Lukisa S. ↓, Giolfo M. ↑,
67', 1 - 4, Caprini M. ⚽,
68', Leonardi S. ↓, Bacic M. ↑,
75', 2 - 4, Casalino T. ⚽,
76', Harder J. ↓, Ievoli M. ↑,
76', Kouadio E. ↓, Deli L. ↑,
76', Braschi R. ↓, Scuderi G. ↑,
84', Rubino T. ↓, Elia M. ↑,
88', Trapani N. ↓, Lamouliatte H. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Primavera 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Sampdoria U20 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fiorentina U20 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fiorentina U20 will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria U20
Italian Primavera 1
04.10.24	Cremonese U20 - Sampdoria U20	3:0 ✺
27.09.24	Sampdoria U20 - Inter U20	0:1 ✺
20.09.24	Cesena U20 - Sampdoria U20	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Sampdoria U20 - Atalanta U20	3:4 ✺
30.08.24	Monza U20 - Sampdoria U20	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWLT
- Fiorentina U20
Italian Primavera 1
06.10.24	Juventus U20 - Fiorentina U20	0:2 ✺
30.09.24	Fiorentina U20 - Roma U20	3:1 ✺
23.09.24	Genoa U20 - Fiorentina U20	3:2 ✺
14.09.24	Fiorentina U20 - Lecce U20	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Torino U20 - Fiorentina U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLLW

Sampdoria U20 - Fiorentina U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide