Match Info

Turkish Cup - Round 1

Date: 24 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu (Samsun)

Referee: Turtay O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	A Spor
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Turkey	A Spor


	Samsunspor		Eyüpspor

	1	X	2
	1.2	6	9.5
	1.18	6.09	14.92
	1.24	6.18	10.53	Watch
	1.22	5.5	10
	1.22	6.53	10.9	Watch
	1.18	7	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.69)	6.22 ↑ (3.7)	11.31 ↑ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samsunspor
76.9%

Draw
14.9%

Eyüpspor
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

25.1%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

24.1%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Samsunspor's performance.

Eyüpspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eyüpspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-24%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samsunspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eyüpspor than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eyüpspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	4.2%	12.5%

Samsunspor - Eyüpspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Samsunspor (1.48) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Samsunspor (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Samsunspor (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Samsunspor will win (20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Samsunspor will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Eyüpspor (votes: 2 - 13.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Posiadala A. (G) 2. Mendes J. 24. Borevkovic T. 4. Van Drongelen R. 17. Tomasson L. 29. Makoumbou A. 11. Kilinc E. 8. Aydogdu S. 21. Holse C. 16. Bulbul T. 9. Marius	24. Yilmaz J. (G) 17. Ulvan T. 42. Satli B. K. 3. Mendy G. 65. Ceyhan O. 38. Aydogdu E. 44. Kara O. B. 56. Aydogdu D. S. 78. Ay O. 26. Altunbas M. 93. Sadia C.
Substitutes
45. Akyuz M. 73. Degirmenci E. 28. Gonul S. 37. Satka L. 36. Seker D. 48. Toruz E. B. (G) 33. Ustun E. (G) 22. Yaldir P. 18. Yavru Z.	57. Akkaya T. 63. Baran B. D. 61. Canibek R. 37. Deniz L. 43. Isik B. 62. Kalan S. 64. Tuzluoglu Y. 94. Ugurlu O. 71. Yalcin E. 60. Yerlikaya K. (G)
Coaches
Reis T.	Ak O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Marius ⚽, Aydogdu S. (A),
33', 2 - 0, Aydogdu S. ⚽, Mendes J. (A),
39', Ay O. 🟨,
43', Holse C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kilinc E. ↓, Gonul S. ↑,
46', Aydogdu E. ↓, Akkaya T. ↑,
61', Bulbul T. ↓, Yaldir P. ↑,
64', Sadia C. ↓, Isik B. ↑,
76', Tomasson L. ↓, Seker D. ↑,
80', Ay O. ↓, Baran B. D. ↑,
87', Holse C. ↓, Akyuz M. ↑,
87', Makoumbou A. ↓, Degirmenci E. ↑,
87', Aydogdu D. S. ↓, Ugurlu O. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Baran B. D. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 3.

Samsunspor is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Eyüpspor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Samsunspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Samsunspor is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Eyüpspor will win today's game, with odds of 7.52.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samsunspor
Turkish Super League
21.12.25	Göztepe - Samsunspor	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.12.25	Mainz - Samsunspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
14.12.25	Samsunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Samsunspor - AEK Athens	1:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
05.12.25	Galatasaray - Samsunspor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Eyüpspor
Turkish Super League
20.12.25	Eyüpspor - Fenerbahçe	0:3 ✺
13.12.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Eyüpspor	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Eyüpspor - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	Eyüpspor - Çankaya	6:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
29.11.25	Gaziantep - Eyüpspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
09.11.25	Samsunspor - Eyüpspor	1:0
04.05.25	Samsunspor - Eyüpspor	3:0
08.12.24	Eyüpspor - Samsunspor	3:0
Turkish First League
22.01.23	Eyüpspor - Samsunspor	1:4
20.08.22	Samsunspor - Eyüpspor	1:1
17.04.22	Samsunspor - Eyüpspor	2:2
22.11.21	Eyüpspor - Samsunspor	2:2

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