Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 29

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu (Samsun)

Referee: Ozturk U. (Tur)


	Samsunspor		Ankaragücü

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.8	Watch
	2	3.2	3.7
	2.08	3.1	3.8	Watch
	2.12	3.24	4.09
	2.1	3.24	4.09
	1.95	3.4	3.75
	2.13	3.25	3.86	Watch
	2.04	3.15	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.38)	3.22 ↓ (3.55)	3.83 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samsunspor
45.9%

Draw
29.4%

Ankaragücü
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26.5%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

26.2%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Samsunspor's performance.

Ankaragücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ankaragücü might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samsunspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ankaragücü could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	31.2%	18.7%

Samsunspor - Ankaragücü Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Ankaragücü will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kocuk O. (G) 18. Yavru Z. 37. Satka L. 5. Ozturk A. 28. Gonul S. 88. Celik O. 13. Tait F. 21. Holse C. 10. Ntcham O. 98. Muja A. 99. Kara E.	99. Gungordu B. (G) 70. Kitsiou S. 26. Radakovic U. 45. Cetin M. 18. Mujakic N. 30. Cigerci T. 8. Pedrinho 13. Bassogog C. 17. Saponara R. 7. Chatzigiovanis A. 32. Macheda F.
Substitutes
48. Antalyali T. 8. Aydogdu S. 16. Bola M. 22. Cift Y. E. 14. Dimata L. 7. Fofana M. 11. Kilinc E. 36. Raman B. 29. Szumski J. (G) 72. Tan M.	9. Bajic R. 4. Cankaya A. R. 29. Cephas R. 19. Flips A. 23. Guneren A. K. 35. Karatas K. 80. Morutan O. 6. Turkmen C. 3. Uludag A.
Coaches
Gisdol M.	Belozoglu E.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Samsunspor won 1.

Recent matches Samsunspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ankaragücü is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Samsunspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Samsunspor will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Samsunspor won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Samsunspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samsunspor
Turkish Super League
03.03.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Samsunspor	1:0 ✺
23.02.24	Samsunspor - Çaykur Rizespor	3:0 ✺
18.02.24	Gaziantep - Samsunspor	1:1 ✺
12.02.24	Samsunspor - Antalyaspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
06.02.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Samsunspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTWL
- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish Super League
02.03.24	Ankaragücü - İstanbulspor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
27.02.24	Ankaragücü - Fenerbahçe	3:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
24.02.24	Kayserispor - Ankaragücü	3:2 ✺
18.02.24	Ankaragücü - Galatasaray	0:3 ✺
11.02.24	Konyaspor - Ankaragücü	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
29.10.23	Ankaragücü - Samsunspor	2:0
Turkish First League
01.05.22	Ankaragücü - Samsunspor	0:0
12.12.21	Samsunspor - Ankaragücü	2:0
20.02.18	Samsunspor - Ankaragücü	1:1
24.09.17	Ankaragücü - Samsunspor	1:0
14.04.13	Samsunspor - Ankaragücü	2:4
24.11.12	Ankaragücü - Samsunspor	1:1

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