Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 17

Date: 9 December 2022, Friday

Location: Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu (Samsun)

Referee: Ozdamar E. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Samsunspor		Yeni Malatyaspor

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.25	6.5
	1.31	5	8
	1.25	4.9	8
	1.29	4.9	7.6
	1.31	5.43	9.71
	1.29	4.6	8.5
	1.28	5.2	8.3
	1.3	5	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.5)	5.04 ↑ (3.88)	8.03 ↑ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samsunspor
70.6%

Draw
18.1%

Yeni Malatyaspor
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

23.4%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

22.1%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Samsunspor's performance.

Yeni Malatyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samsunspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeni Malatyaspor than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91%	2.6%	6.4%

Samsunspor - Yeni Malatyaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Samsunspor will win (71 of 78 users predict this - 91.03%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.69% – 97.37%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Samsunspor in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Yeni Malatyaspor is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Yeni Malatyaspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Samsunspor is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Samsunspor to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Samsunspor won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Samsunspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samsunspor
Turkish First League
03.12.22	Samsunspor - Denizlispor	5:0 ✺
27.11.22	Keçiörengücü - Samsunspor	1:1 ✺
13.11.22	Tuzlaspor - Samsunspor	1:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
09.11.22	Samsunspor - Adanaspor	4:0 ✺
Turkish First League
06.11.22	Samsunspor - Göztepe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWWW
- Yeni Malatyaspor
Turkish First League
26.11.22	Tuzlaspor - Yeni Malatyaspor	0:0 ✺
18.11.22	Yeni Malatyaspor - Pendikspor	0:3 ✺
12.11.22	Boluspor - Yeni Malatyaspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
08.11.22	Yeni Malatyaspor - Uşakspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish First League
05.11.22	Yeni Malatyaspor - Gençlerbirliği	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
07.05.16	Samsunspor - Yeni Malatyaspor	0:0
20.12.15	Yeni Malatyaspor - Samsunspor	0:0
Turkish Cup
29.10.14	Samsunspor - Yeni Malatyaspor	1:0 penalties

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