Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 12

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yeni Malatya Stadyumu (Malatya) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Aksuoğlu F. (Tur)


	Yeni Malatyaspor		Gençlerbirliği

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.75
	2.3	3.3	2.75
	2.1	3.5	2.88
	2.28	3.25	2.75
	2.36	3.44	3.02
	2.25	3.1	2.88
	2.32	3.2	2.86
	2.3	3.3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.51)	3.3 (3.3)	2.83 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeni Malatyaspor
40.2%

Draw
27.6%

Gençlerbirliği
32.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.9%

27.3%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

26.6%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeni Malatyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Gençlerbirliği has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeni Malatyaspor than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	36.4%	18.2%

Yeni Malatyaspor - Gençlerbirliği Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Yeni Malatyaspor will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Gençlerbirliği will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yeni Malatyaspor: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yeni Malatyaspor won 2.

Recent matches Yeni Malatyaspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gençlerbirliği is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Yeni Malatyaspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Yeni Malatyaspor won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Yeni Malatyaspor won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeni Malatyaspor
Turkish First League
28.10.22	Altınordu - Yeni Malatyaspor	0:3 ✺
23.10.22	Yeni Malatyaspor - Göztepe	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
20.10.22	Yeni Malatyaspor - Agrispor	4:3 penalties ✺
Turkish First League
16.10.22	Bandırmaspor - Yeni Malatyaspor	0:2 ✺
09.10.22	Yeni Malatyaspor - Erzurumspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WLWWL
- Gençlerbirliği
Turkish First League
31.10.22	Gençlerbirliği - Manisa FK	1:3 ✺
24.10.22	Adanaspor - Gençlerbirliği	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
20.10.22	Gençlerbirliği - Niğde Belediyespor	3:1 ET ✺
Turkish First League
15.10.22	Gençlerbirliği - Keçiörengücü	0:2 ✺
08.10.22	Samsunspor - Gençlerbirliği	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
26.02.21	Gençlerbirliği - Yeni Malatyaspor	1:1
25.10.20	Yeni Malatyaspor - Gençlerbirliği	2:1
04.07.20	Yeni Malatyaspor - Gençlerbirliği	0:0
29.11.19	Gençlerbirliği - Yeni Malatyaspor	3:3
31.03.18	Yeni Malatyaspor - Gençlerbirliği	4:1
28.10.17	Gençlerbirliği - Yeni Malatyaspor	0:1
Club Friendly
04.08.17	Gençlerbirliği - Yeni Malatyaspor	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gençlerbirliği
Turkish Super League
02.11.26	Gençlerbirliği - Alanyaspor	✺
Turkish Cup
29.10.26	Gençlerbirliği - Karaköprü	✺

Yeni Malatyaspor - Gençlerbirliği