Match Info

GEORGIA: CRYSTALBET EROVNULI LIGA - ROUND 25

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium (Samtredia)

Referee: Ninua B. (Geo)


	Samtredia		Shukura Kobuleti

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	4.75	Watch
	1.59	4	5.19
	1.5	3.9	5.25
	1.47	4.45	5.5
	1.58	4	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (2.01)	4.07 ↑ (3.47)	5.12 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samtredia
59.5%

Draw
22.5%

Shukura Kobuleti
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

26.4%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

22.4%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samtredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Samtredia's performance.

Shukura Kobuleti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shukura Kobuleti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (-20.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samtredia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shukura Kobuleti than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shukura Kobuleti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Samtredia - Shukura Kobuleti Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Samtredia will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Shukura will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samtredia: 50.6% – 100%.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kharatishvili L. (G) 13. Akhvlediani I. 4. Abuladze M. 21. Botchorishvili V. 40. Ubilava D. 8. Pavisic S. 18. Khmaladze L. (C) 10. Akhvlediani T. 9. Khaybulaev A. 11. Kirkitadze D. 15. Mishov A.	12. Abramishvili G. (G) 29. Kamladze I. 14. Asatiani L. 4. Chakvetadze A. 2. Kavtaradze G. 13. Gazdeliani G. 27. Chankseliani B. 24. Gogolashvili G. 17. Janelidze G. (C) 30. Kvaratskhelia L. 19. Mujiri D.
Substitutes
29. Chargeishvili V. 30. Chitaishvili M. 3. Dvalishvili J. 6. Firanashvili S. 7. Injgia R. 20. Ioseliani G. 22. Labadze A. (G) 17. Nachkebia Z. 27. Olatunji D.	3. Ananidze A. 18. Ghlonti G. 5. Kumba G. 23. Lortkipanidze L. 15. Nadiradze L. 22. Robakidze L.
Coaches
Kapinkovski D.	Gonzalez C.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Samtredia won 0.

Recent matches Samtredia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shukura has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Samtredia is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Samtredia won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Samtredia won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Samtredia
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
02.09.23	Dila Gori - Samtredia	1:3 ✺
26.08.23	Samtredia - Iberia 1999	0:0 ✺
19.08.23	Dinamo Batumi - Samtredia	1:1 ✺
14.08.23	Samtredia - Torpedo Kutaisi	2:3 ✺
06.08.23	Samtredia - Telavi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37 WTTLL
- Shukura Kobuleti
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
02.09.23	Shukura Kobuleti - Dinamo Tbilisi	2:3 ✺
25.08.23	Dila Gori - Shukura Kobuleti	5:1 ✺
20.08.23	Shukura Kobuleti - Telavi	0:2 ✺
15.08.23	Iberia 1999 - Shukura Kobuleti	5:1 ✺
05.08.23	Dinamo Batumi - Shukura Kobuleti	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
24.05.23	Shukura Kobuleti - Samtredia	2:2
08.04.23	Samtredia - Shukura Kobuleti	0:2
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
13.11.22	Shukura Kobuleti - Samtredia	3:0
18.09.22	Samtredia - Shukura Kobuleti	0:1
17.05.22	Shukura Kobuleti - Samtredia	0:0
14.03.22	Samtredia - Shukura Kobuleti	0:1
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
20.10.21	Samtredia - Shukura Kobuleti	1:1

Samtredia - Shukura Kobuleti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide