Match Info

GEORGIA: Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 28

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium (Samtredia)


	Samtredia		Torpedo Kutaisi

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	1.88
	3.5	3.5	1.9	Watch
	3.3	3.81	1.98
	3.36	3.74	1.91	Watch
	3.4	3.5	1.83
	3.65	3.55	1.84
	3.35	3.5	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (5.22)	3.57 ↓ (3.97)	1.9 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samtredia
26.7%

Draw
25.4%

Torpedo Kutaisi
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

23%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

22.7%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samtredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Samtredia's performance.

Torpedo Kutaisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torpedo Kutaisi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samtredia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Kutaisi than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torpedo Kutaisi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Samtredia - Torpedo Kutaisi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Megrelishvili T. (G) 17. Elbakidze L. 22. Carrillo J. 14. Leo Assunpcao 40. Ubilava D. (C) 39. Andre d. S. R. 38. Aknazarov M. 11. Nkoumba E. 7. Ardazishvili R. 6. Owusu D. 21. Martin I.	31. Kljajic F. (G) 21. Auro 16. Sandokhadze N. (C) 12. Sakho M. 5. Nadaraia T. 20. Eliton Junior 27. Shergelashvili L. 2. Warley 14. Felipe Pires 23. Patsatsia T. 19. Yansane M.
Substitutes
9. Amoako J. 8. Barrios E. 4. Chachua J. 33. Chkhaidze G. 36. Danelia R. 15. Kveladze G. 25. Labadze A. (G) 10. Mello N. 24. Odishelidze R.	26. Basiladze A. 15. Dvalishvili J. 1. Goshadze O. (G) 11. Jorginho 13. Mandzhgaladze G. 22. Mchedlishvili G. 4. Oloko-Obi T. 24. Tkeshelashvili A.
Coaches
Kakashvili V.	Kean S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Aknazarov M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Yansane M. ↓, Mchedlishvili G. ↑,
46', Andre d. S. R. ↓, Kveladze G. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Patsatsia T. ⚽, Felipe Pires (A),
58', Nkoumba E. ↓, Amoako J. ↑,
62', Warley ↓, Mandzhgaladze G. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Martin I. ⚽, Elbakidze L. (A),
78', Shergelashvili L. ↓, Jorginho ↑,
78', Eliton Junior ↓, Basiladze A. ↑,
84', Owusu D. ↓, Mello N. ↑,
89', Ardazishvili R. ↓, Barrios E. ↑,
89', Martin I. ↓, Odishelidze R. ↑,
90+1', Nadaraia T. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 1, Odishelidze R. ⚽, Amoako J. (A),
90+7', Odishelidze R. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Samtredia
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
01.10.24	Dinamo Batumi - Samtredia	1:2 ✺
26.09.24	Samtredia - Telavi	2:1 ✺
20.09.24	Dila Gori - Samtredia	3:2 ✺
15.09.24	Samtredia - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:2 ✺
31.08.24	Dinamo Tbilisi - Samtredia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.6 WWLTT
- Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
30.09.24	Telavi - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:2 ✺
26.09.24	Torpedo Kutaisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Gagra - Torpedo Kutaisi	0:3 ✺
18.09.24	Torpedo Kutaisi - Iberia 1999	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Torpedo Kutaisi - Kolkheti Poti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
05.08.24	Torpedo Kutaisi - Samtredia	2:1
20.04.24	Samtredia - Torpedo Kutaisi	0:0
02.03.24	Torpedo Kutaisi - Samtredia	4:1
21.10.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Samtredia	2:0
14.08.23	Samtredia - Torpedo Kutaisi	2:3
06.05.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Samtredia	1:0
08.03.23	Samtredia - Torpedo Kutaisi	0:2

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