Match Info

Date: 31 October 2021, Sunday


	Samut Prakan City		Ratchaburi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.2	2.85
	2.28	3.35	2.6	Watch
	2.27	3.15	2.85
	2.34	3.62	2.78
	2.2	3.25	3
	2.33	3.52	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.02)	3.35 ↓ (3.37)	2.82 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samut Prakan City
40.3%

Draw
27.3%

Ratchaburi
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

18.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samut Prakan City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Ratchaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samut Prakan City than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samut Prakan City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ratchaburi than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ratchaburi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Samut Prakan City - Ratchaburi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 13).

Samut Prakan City is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ratchaburi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ratchaburi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Samut Prakan City will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Samut Prakan City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Samut Prakan City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samut Prakan City FC
Thai League 1
23.10.21	Nakhon Ratchasima - Samut Prakan City	1:0 ✺
16.10.21	Samut Prakan City - Thai Port	2:2 ✺
10.10.21	Prachuap - Samut Prakan City	0:0 ✺
06.10.21	Buriram United - Samut Prakan City	2:1 ✺
02.10.21	Samut Prakan City - Chiangmai United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTTLL
- Ratchaburi FC
Thai League 1
24.10.21	Ratchaburi - Buriram United	1:2 ✺
20.10.21	Ratchaburi - Bangkok United	1:2 ✺
17.10.21	Police Tero - Ratchaburi	2:2 ✺
10.10.21	Ratchaburi - Chiangmai United	2:0 ✺
07.10.21	Suphanburi - Ratchaburi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
11.03.21	Samut Prakan City - Ratchaburi	1:3
22.11.20	Ratchaburi - Samut Prakan City	3:1
31.07.19	Ratchaburi - Samut Prakan City	5:2
03.04.19	Samut Prakan City - Ratchaburi	2:1

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