Match Info

Date: 16 October 2021, Saturday


	Samut Prakan City		Thai Port

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.25	2
	2.88	3.25	2.14	Watch
	2.95	3.15	2.21
	3.11	3.18	2.33
	3.2	3.1	2.15
	3.06	3.28	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.94)	3.2 ↓ (3.36)	2.19 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samut Prakan City
29.7%

Draw
28.5%

Thai Port
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

27.4%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

20.1%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samut Prakan City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Thai Port has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samut Prakan City than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samut Prakan City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thai Port than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thai Port could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Samut Prakan City - Thai Port Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 5).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Port will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Samut Prakan City won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Samut Prakan City won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samut Prakan City FC
Thai League 1
10.10.21	Prachuap - Samut Prakan City	0:0 ✺
06.10.21	Buriram United - Samut Prakan City	2:1 ✺
02.10.21	Samut Prakan City - Chiangmai United	1:3 ✺
26.09.21	Police Tero - Samut Prakan City	1:1 ✺
17.09.21	Samut Prakan City - Bangkok United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLLTW
- Thai Port FC
Thai League 1
10.10.21	Thai Port - Buriram United	0:2 ✺
07.10.21	Chiangmai United - Thai Port	0:2 ✺
02.10.21	Thai Port - Muangthong United	1:0 ✺
26.09.21	Suphanburi - Thai Port	2:1 ✺
18.09.21	Thai Port - Khonkaen United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
27.12.20	Samut Prakan City - Thai Port	6:3
22.02.20	Thai Port - Samut Prakan City	4:1
26.10.19	Thai Port - Samut Prakan City	2:2
23.06.19	Samut Prakan City - Thai Port	2:1

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