Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 18

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	San Bartolomé		Mensajero

	1	X	2
	3.7	2.98	1.98
	3.71	3.18	1.99
	3.7	2.9	2
	3.68	3.13	1.96
	3.75	3.1	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.59)	3.06 ↑ (3.05)	1.98 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Bartolomé
24.5%

Draw
29.7%

Mensajero
45.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.2%

29.6%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

29.4%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Bartolomé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Bartolomé than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

San Bartolomé - Mensajero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 7).

San Bartolomé is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mensajero has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mensajero will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Bartolomé won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Mensajero	8	3	3	2	10:13	-3	12
11	San Bartolome	8	2	4	2	13:13	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Bartolomé CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
14.01.26	San Bartolomé - Arucas	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	San Bartolomé - Tenerife C	1:3 ✺
04.01.26	Lanzarote - San Bartolomé	3:0 ✺
21.12.25	UD San Fernando - San Bartolomé	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Villa de Santa Brígida - San Bartolomé	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TLLTT
- CD Mensajero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
14.01.26	Mensajero - Unión Sur Yaiza	3:0 ✺
10.01.26	UD San Fernando - Mensajero	4:0 ✺
04.01.26	Mensajero - Arucas	4:2 ✺
20.12.25	Villa de Santa Brígida - Mensajero	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Arcángel San Miguel - Mensajero	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
07.09.25	Mensajero - San Bartolomé	2:0
09.02.25	Mensajero - San Bartolomé	0:1

San Bartolomé - Mensajero