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Current Win Probability
San Diego Wave 33.1%
Draw 27.7%
NJ NY Gotham 39.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.7%
28.1%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.4%
29.3%
40.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego Wave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
NJ NY Gotham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for NJ NY Gotham than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
San Diego Wave - NJ NY Gotham Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Agudelo L. (G) 16. Van Zanten A. D. 2. Wesley K. 14. McNabb K. 75. Morroni P. 11. Corley G. 10. Dali K. (C) 8. Ascanio K. 7. Barcenas M. 17. Ludmila 81. Gabi Portilho
30. Berger A. (C) 27. Carter J. 6. Sonnett E. 15. Davidson T. 18. Reiten G. 7. Howell J. M. 13. McCaskill S. 2. Dudley J. 16. Lavelle R. 10. Shaw J. 9. Gonzalez Rodriguez E.
Substitutes
3. Armstrong T. 15. Byars T. 18. Fazer L. 28. Fusco J. 22. Godfrey L. E. 31. Haracic D. (G) 23. Harrison N. 9. Leon A. 19. Wynalda T.
3. Bruninha 21. Cook S. 22. Freeman M. 34. Harper K. 1. Hogan S. (G) 24. Kitahata A. 23. Purce M. 11. Schupansky S. 14. Sommer T.
Coaches
Eidevall J.
Amoros J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Barcenas M. ⚽, Wesley K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Gabi Portilho ↓, Wynalda T. ↑,
61', Corley G. ↓, Godfrey L. E. ↑,
62', Sonnett E. 🟨,
62', Carter J. ↓, Purce M. ↑,
69', Barcenas M. ↓, Fazer L. ↑,
69', Van Zanten A. D. ↓, Armstrong T. ↑,
72', Dali K. 🟨,
77', Shaw J. ↓, Bruninha ↑,
77', Gonzalez Rodriguez E. ↓, Freeman M. ↑,
77', McCaskill S. ↓, Schupansky S. ↑,
82', Ludmila ↓, Byars T. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Byars T. ⚽, Godfrey L. E. (A),
90+5', Dudley J. ↓, Harper K. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 2.
San Diego Wave is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Gotham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
San Diego Wave may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.6:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, San Diego Wave won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).