The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chicago Stars 10%
Draw 17.3%
San Diego Wave 72.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.3%
20.3%
65.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14%
19.9%
66.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
San Diego Wave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Diego Wave's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Stars than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Diego Wave, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chicago Stars - San Diego Wave Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Atkinson K. (G) 4. Bike J. 6. Hendrich K. (C) 3. Staab S. 11. Gomes N. 77. Lopez Millan M. 24. Gareis R. 7. Grosso J. 10. Pinto B. A. 9. Swanson M. 99. Huitema J.
31. Haracic D. (G) 16. Van Zanten A. D. 2. Wesley K. 14. McNabb K. 75. Morroni P. 8. Ascanio K. 10. Dali K. (C) 7. Barcenas M. 22. Godfrey L. E. 88. Dudinha 17. Ludmila
Substitutes
18. Chacon I. 15. Evans E. 16. Hayashi M. 23. Johnson M. 8. Joseph J. 22. Mackiewicz H. (G) 13. Nesbeth L. 14. Wood T.
15. Byars T. 11. Corley G. 18. Fazer L. 99. Freeman L. (G) 28. Fusco J. 81. Gabi Portilho 23. Harrison N. 33. Pickett K. 19. Wynalda T.
Coaches
Sjogren M.
Eidevall J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Dudinha ⚽, Godfrey L. E. (A),
18', Dali K. 🟨,
22', Morroni P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Dali K. ↓, Fazer L. ↑,
63', Godfrey L. E. ↓, Corley G. ↑,
64', Swanson M. ↓, Joseph J. ↑,
65', Pinto B. A. ↓, Hayashi M. ↑,
73', Barcenas M. ↓, Gabi Portilho ↑,
73', Ludmila ↓, Byars T. ↑,
76', Gareis R. ↓, Wood T. ↑,
76', Lopez Millan M. ↓, Nesbeth L. ↑,
89', Van Zanten A. D. ↓, Wynalda T. ↑,
90', Gomes N. ↓, Chacon I. ↑,
90+13', 0 - 2, Byars T. ⚽, Corley G. (A),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 2.
Chicago is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
San Diego Wave's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
San Diego Wave may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, San Diego Wave is the clear favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
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Atkinson K. (G) 
Hendrich K. (C) 
Gomes N. 
Lopez Millan M. 
Grosso J. 
Haracic D. (G) 
Van Zanten A. D. 
Morroni P. 
Dudinha 
Chacon I. 
Hayashi M. 
Nesbeth L. 
Sjogren M. 
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