Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 29

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Bahía Sur (San Fernando)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	San Fernando		Don Benito

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.5	5.75
	1.5	3.65	6.4
	1.49	3.73	6.73	Watch
	1.59	3.64	5.98
	1.5	3.65	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.6)	3.63 ↑ (3.48)	6.25 ↑ (5.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Fernando
60.2%

Draw
25.2%

Don Benito
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

26.3%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

23.7%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Don Benito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Fernando that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

San Fernando - Don Benito Predictions

Users Predictions: San Fernando will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Chit O. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Don Benito is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match San Fernando is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams San Fernando won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.03.25	Minera - San Fernando	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Xerez CD - San Fernando	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	San Fernando - Almeria B	4:1 ✺
02.03.25	Antoniano - San Fernando	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	San Fernando - La Unión	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWTT
- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.03.25	Don Benito - Almeria B	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	Antoniano - Don Benito	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Don Benito - La Unión	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Granada B - Don Benito	2:2 ✺
23.02.25	Don Benito - Linares Deportivo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.11.24	Don Benito - San Fernando	1:0
08.12.19	San Fernando - Don Benito	0:1
20.04.19	Don Benito - San Fernando	4:3
02.12.18	San Fernando - Don Benito	2:1

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