Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 26

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Don Benito		La Unión

	1	X	2
	3.8	2.7	2.05
	3.85	2.85	2.05
	4.22	2.88	2.15
	4.08	2.71	2.11	Watch
	4.25	2.74	2.08
	3.85	2.85	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↓ (4.53)	2.79 ↓ (3.02)	2.08 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Don Benito
22.9%

Draw
32.9%

La Unión
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

30.3%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

29.4%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Benito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

La Unión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and La Unión might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Unión than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that La Unión could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Don Benito - La Unión Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, Francis ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Don Benito is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

La Unión in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Don Benito could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

La Unión will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Don Benito won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.03.25	Granada B - Don Benito	2:2 ✺
23.02.25	Don Benito - Linares Deportivo	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Villanovense - Don Benito	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Don Benito - Linense	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Águilas - Don Benito	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTLLL
- La Unión CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.03.25	La Unión - Minera	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	San Fernando - La Unión	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	La Unión - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Antoniano - La Unión	1:4 ✺
02.02.25	Xerez CD - La Unión	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.10.24	La Unión - Don Benito	3:1

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