Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 28

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Don Benito		Almeria B

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.55
	2.49	3.15	2.6
				Watch
	2.56	3.16	2.61
	2.49	3.15	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (3.9)	3.14 ↑ (3.07)	2.59 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Don Benito
36.2%

Draw
28.8%

Almeria B
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

29.8%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

28.5%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Benito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Don Benito's performance.

Almeria B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Almeria B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Don Benito that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almeria B than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almeria B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Don Benito - Almeria B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, Chit O. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Sanchez L. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Lara L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Don Benito is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Almeria B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Don Benito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Don Benito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.03.25	Antoniano - Don Benito	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Don Benito - La Unión	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Granada B - Don Benito	2:2 ✺
23.02.25	Don Benito - Linares Deportivo	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Villanovense - Don Benito	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTTL
- Almeria B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.03.25	Almeria B - Minera	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	San Fernando - Almeria B	4:1 ✺
02.03.25	Xerez CD - Almeria B	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Almeria B - Antoniano	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	La Unión - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.11.24	Almeria B - Don Benito	2:1
10.02.19	Don Benito - Almeria B	1:0
23.09.18	Almeria B - Don Benito	4:1

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