Match Info

Date: 24 September 2022, Saturday


	San Fernando		San Sebastian Reyes

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.1
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.1	3.2	3.25
	2.15	3.15	3.05
	2.15	3.24	3.51
	2.1	3.22	3.26
	2.18	3.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.9)	3.19 ↑ (3.19)	3.2 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Fernando
42.9%

Draw
28.6%

San Sebastian Reyes
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

28.2%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

28%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Fernando's performance.

San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Sebastian Reyes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Fernando that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Sebastian Reyes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

San Fernando - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. San Fernando will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). SS Reyes will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Fernando: 57.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

San Fernando is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches SS Reyes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

SS Reyes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

San Fernando will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.09.22	Alcorcón - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
11.09.22	San Fernando - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	Badajoz - San Fernando	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	San Fernando - Ceuta	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.22	San Fernando - Deportivo Toledo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLTWW
- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.09.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Real Madrid Castilla	1:5 ✺
11.09.22	Linares Deportivo - San Sebastian Reyes	2:1 ✺
03.09.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Pontevedra	2:0 ✺
28.08.22	Celta de Vigo B - San Sebastian Reyes	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
13.08.22	Numancia - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWWL

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