Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 13

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Bahía Sur (San Fernando)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	San Fernando		Xerez Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.95	3.75
	1.96	3	3.9
	2.02	2.92	4.07
	1.97	2.98	4.07	Watch
	1.97	3.08	4
	1.96	3	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.48)	2.99 ↓ (3.04)	3.95 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Fernando
46.4%

Draw
30.5%

Xerez Deportivo
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

30.2%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

29.3%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Fernando's performance.

Xerez Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Xerez Deportivo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Fernando that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Xerez Deportivo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Fernando - Xerez Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 0 - 1, Juaniyo G. ⚽,

Preview

San Fernando is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Xerez Deportivo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Xerez Deportivo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match San Fernando is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams San Fernando won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.11.24	Don Benito - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	San Fernando - Minera	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	San Fernando - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	Almeria B - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
20.10.24	San Fernando - Antoniano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWLL
- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.11.24	Xerez Deportivo - Almeria B	0:0 ✺
10.11.24	Antoniano - Xerez Deportivo	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Xerez Deportivo - La Unión	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Granada B - Xerez Deportivo	4:3 ✺
20.10.24	Xerez Deportivo - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.08.21	Xerez Deportivo - San Fernando	2:1
07.08.19	Xerez Deportivo - San Fernando	1:2

San Fernando - Xerez Deportivo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide