Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Xerez Deportivo		Almeria B

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	4.15
	1.98	3.26	3.85
	1.9	3.15	3.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.68)	3.2 ↓ (3.35)	3.97 ↓ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez Deportivo
48.4%

Draw
28.6%

Almeria B
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

27.2%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

26%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xerez Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Xerez Deportivo's form might have worsened.

Almeria B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Xerez Deportivo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almeria B than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Almeria B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Xerez Deportivo - Almeria B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Burgos I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 1 - 1, Iglesias D. Y. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Xerez Deportivo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Almeria B is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Xerez Deportivo is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Xerez Deportivo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Xerez Deportivo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.11.25	Xerez Deportivo - Antoniano	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	CD Extremadura - Xerez Deportivo	3:2 ✺
19.10.25	Xerez Deportivo - Águilas	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	UCAM Murcia - Xerez Deportivo	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Xerez Deportivo - Yeclano Deportivo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLTLW
- Almeria B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.11.25	Almeria B - La Unión	0:3 ✺
25.10.25	Real Jaén - Almeria B	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Almeria B - UCAM Murcia	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Xerez CD - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Almeria B - Águilas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.03.25	Almeria B - Xerez Deportivo	0:1
16.11.24	Xerez Deportivo - Almeria B	0:0

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