Match Info
Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 18Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Xerez Deportivo |
|
La Unión |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.48 |
2.78 |
2.88 |
|
 |
2.52 |
2.79 |
3.02 |
|
 |
2.46 |
2.79 |
2.99 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.85 |
3 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.48 ↓ (2.64) |
2.8 ↓ (2.81) |
2.97 ↑ (2.68) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Xerez Deportivo 36.8% | Draw 32.5% | La Unión 30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Xerez Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)La Unión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Unión than the current prediction. (+5%)Xerez Deportivo - La Unión Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Rivelott Curro ⚽,
- 15', 2 - 0, Gomez J. ⚽,
- 30', 2 - 1, Ortiz A. ⚽,
- 32', 3 - 1, Gomez M. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 74', 4 - 1, Charid I. ⚽,
- 90', 4 - 2, Perez M. ⚽,
Preview
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.La Unión may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Xerez Deportivo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).Including home match between the teams, Xerez Deportivo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;