Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 5

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	San Giovanni		Cosmos

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.55
	3.9	3.85	1.68
	3.78	3.93	1.7
	5.69	3.98	1.49
	3.95	3.9	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↑ (4.34)	3.89 ↓ (3.9)	1.62 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Giovanni
20.6%

Draw
23.4%

Cosmos
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

23.1%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Giovanni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Cosmos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Giovanni than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cosmos than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

San Giovanni - Cosmos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Islamaj K. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', 0 - 2, Ceccaroli L. ⚽,
86', 0 - 3, Gjurchinoski B. ⚽, Fermi T. (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Giovanni won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Cosmos is the team to beat.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, San Giovanni won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:27. (average 0.6:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, San Giovanni won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:18. (average 0.4:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS San Giovanni
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
27.09.25	AC Libertas - San Giovanni	1:0 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
23.09.25	San Giovanni - Cosmos	0:2 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
20.09.25	San Giovanni - Fiorentino	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Tre Fiori - San Giovanni	4:0 ✺
29.08.25	San Giovanni - Juvenes-Dogana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLT
- SS Cosmos
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
28.09.25	Virtus - Cosmos	2:0 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
23.09.25	San Giovanni - Cosmos	0:2 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
19.09.25	Cosmos - Domagnano	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Cosmos	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Cosmos - Tre Fiori	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Coppa Titano
23.09.25	San Giovanni - Cosmos	0:2
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
17.05.25	Cosmos - San Giovanni	4:2
15.03.25	San Giovanni - Cosmos	2:0
30.04.24	San Giovanni - Cosmos	0:3
27.04.24	Cosmos - San Giovanni	1:2
28.01.24	San Giovanni - Cosmos	0:3
30.09.23	Cosmos - San Giovanni	0:0

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