Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 4

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


San-marino	San Marino RTV


	AC Libertas		San Giovanni

	1	X	2
	3.39	4.33	1.68
	4.1	4.05	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.5)	4.19 ↑ (4.11)	1.67 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AC Libertas
24.1%

Draw
21.6%

San Giovanni
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

22.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AC Libertas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

San Giovanni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

AC Libertas - San Giovanni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Morelli G. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AC Libertas won 1.

AC Libertas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

San Giovanni will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, AC Libertas won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, AC Libertas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Libertas
San Marino Coppa Titano
23.09.25	Cailungo - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
19.09.25	AC Libertas - Cailungo	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Domagnano - AC Libertas	5:2 ✺
29.08.25	AC Libertas - San Marino Academy U22	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	AC Libertas - Cailungo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLTT
- SS San Giovanni
San Marino Coppa Titano
23.09.25	San Giovanni - Cosmos	0:2 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
20.09.25	San Giovanni - Fiorentino	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Tre Fiori - San Giovanni	4:0 ✺
29.08.25	San Giovanni - Juvenes-Dogana	0:0 ✺
17.05.25	Cosmos - San Giovanni	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
12.04.25	AC Libertas - San Giovanni	2:3
15.12.24	San Giovanni - AC Libertas	2:1
03.03.24	San Giovanni - AC Libertas	2:1
12.11.23	AC Libertas - San Giovanni	1:1
22.04.23	San Giovanni - AC Libertas	1:3
14.01.23	AC Libertas - San Giovanni	1:0
06.02.22	San Giovanni - AC Libertas	0:1

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