Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Alavés C		San Ignacio

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.85	3.2
	2.22	2.98	3.1
	2.65	2.12	4.30	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.2
	2.24	2.94	3.17
	2.22	2.85	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.02)	2.76 ↓ (3.05)	3.38 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alavés C
39.9%

Draw
33.1%

San Ignacio
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

29.9%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

29.5%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alavés C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alavés C's form might have worsened.

San Ignacio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alavés C than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alavés C, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Ignacio than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Alavés C - San Ignacio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, ⚽,
81', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Alavés C may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alavés C might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alavés C won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Alavés C won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Alaves C	5	2	1	2	11:6	5	7
12	San Ignacio	5	1	2	2	8:7	1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
20.12.25	Derio - Alavés C	2:3 ✺
13.12.25	Alavés C - Touring KE	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Zarautz KE - Alavés C	0:3 ✺
16.11.25	Alavés C - Leioa	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Eibar C - Alavés C	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTWLW
- Club San Ignacio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
21.12.25	San Ignacio - Aurrerá de Vitoria	3:1 ✺
13.12.25	Leioa - San Ignacio	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	San Ignacio - Eibar C	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Añorga - San Ignacio	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	San Ignacio - Durango	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
12.04.25	Alavés C - San Ignacio	2:0
01.12.24	San Ignacio - Alavés C	2:0
04.02.24	Alavés C - San Ignacio	0:2
17.09.23	San Ignacio - Alavés C	2:0

Alavés C - San Ignacio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide