Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 31

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	San Ignacio		Leioa

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.88	2.88
	2.38	2.89	2.89
	9.77	4.56	1.32	Watch
	2.5	2.7	2.9
	2.4	2.89	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (2.55)	3.18 ↑ (3.1)	2.59 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Ignacio
26.8%

Draw
32.8%

Leioa
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

29.3%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

29.2%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Ignacio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Ignacio's form might have worsened.

Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leioa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Ignacio than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Ignacio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leioa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Ignacio - Leioa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Ignacio won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

San Ignacio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, San Ignacio won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, San Ignacio won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Leioa	5	2	3	0	12:6	6	9
12	San Ignacio	5	1	2	2	8:7	1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club San Ignacio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
11.04.26	Eibar C - San Ignacio	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	San Ignacio - Añorga	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Durango - San Ignacio	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	San Ignacio - Aretxabaleta	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Zamudio - San Ignacio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLWLT
- SD Leioa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
12.04.26	Leioa - Derio	0:0 ✺
01.04.26	Touring KE - Leioa	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Leioa - Alavés C	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Leioa	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Leioa - Zarautz KE	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
13.12.25	Leioa - San Ignacio	0:0
22.02.25	Leioa - San Ignacio	3:0
13.10.24	San Ignacio - Leioa	3:1
20.01.24	San Ignacio - Leioa	2:0
16.04.23	Leioa - San Ignacio	1:0
18.12.22	San Ignacio - Leioa	0:2
05.03.22	Leioa - San Ignacio	2:0

San Ignacio - Leioa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide