Match Info

COSTA RICA: LIGA DE ASCENSO - CLAUSURA - ROUND 9

Date: 22 February 2023, Wednesday


	San José		Cariari Pococí

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	4.75
	1.53	3.75	4.6
	1.57	4	5.02
	1.5	3.8	5.5
	1.53	4.1	5.3
	1.51	4.3	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.82)	4.03 ↑ (3.72)	5.01 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San José
59.4%

Draw
22.5%

Cariari Pococí
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

24.2%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

19.3%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San José has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San José's performance.

Cariari Pococí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cariari Pococí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San José than the current prediction. (-20%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San José that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cariari Pococí than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cariari Pococí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	37.5%	0%

San José - Cariari Pococí Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. San José will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San José: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 and 9).

Recent matches San José is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cariari Pococí is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San José could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently San José have a series of guest games.

In this match San José is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches San José won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams San José won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San José FC Costa Rica
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
18.02.23	Desamparados - San José	3:0 ✺
12.02.23	Escorpiones de Belén - San José	3:4 ✺
05.02.23	Limon Black Star - San José	3:3 ✺
28.01.23	San José - Turrialba	1:1 ✺
25.01.23	Uruguay de Coronado - San José	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWTTL
- AD Cariari Pococí
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
19.02.23	Cariari Pococí - Escorpiones de Belén	2:6 ✺
08.02.23	Cariari Pococí - Limon Black Star	0:3 ✺
05.02.23	Turrialba - Cariari Pococí	3:0 ✺
29.01.23	Cariari Pococí - Uruguay de Coronado	4:2 ✺
25.01.23	Aserrí - Cariari Pococí	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
30.10.22	San José - Cariari Pococí	1:0
07.09.22	Cariari Pococí - San José	1:1

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