Match Info

COSTA RICA: Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Cariari Pococí		Limon Black Star

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.95	3.35	3.45
	2.03	3.61	3.38	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.7
	2.05	3.25	3.67
	1.95	3.35	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.58)	3.41 ↓ (3.89)	3.78 ↓ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cariari Pococí
48.4%

Draw
27.1%

Limon Black Star
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

23.6%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

22.3%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cariari Pococí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cariari Pococí's form might have worsened.

Limon Black Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Limon Black Star's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cariari Pococí than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cariari Pococí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Limon Black Star than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Limon Black Star, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cariari Pococí - Limon Black Star Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+9', 1 - 0, Casanova G. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cariari won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Limon Black Star could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cariari is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Cariari won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:18 (average 1.5:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Cariari won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Cariari Pococí
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
06.03.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Cariari Pococí	4:1 ✺
03.03.25	Escorpiones de Belén - Cariari Pococí	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Cariari Pococí - Desamparados	4:0 ✺
19.02.25	Aserrí - Cariari Pococí	3:1 ✺
16.02.25	Cariari Pococí - Uruguay de Coronado	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLW
- Limon Black Star
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
09.03.25	Limon Black Star - Santa Cruz PFA	2:1 ✺
06.03.25	Escorpiones de Belén - Limon Black Star	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Desamparados - Limon Black Star	1:0 ✺
26.02.25	Limon Black Star - Turrialba	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Limon Black Star - Aserrí	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
03.02.25	Limon Black Star - Cariari Pococí	1:2
29.09.24	Limon Black Star - Cariari Pococí	0:5
18.08.24	Cariari Pococí - Limon Black Star	1:1
31.03.24	Cariari Pococí - Limon Black Star	1:2
18.02.24	Limon Black Star - Cariari Pococí	3:0
29.10.23	Limon Black Star - Cariari Pococí	1:2
03.09.23	Cariari Pococí - Limon Black Star	1:1

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