Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 20

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	San Juan		Aoiz

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.6	5.5
	1.58	3.63	5.59
	4.24	1.38	8.28	Watch
	1.54	3.54	5.89
	1.55	3.6	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.55)	3.15 ↓ (3.6)	6.15 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Juan
50%

Draw
33.1%

Aoiz
16.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.9%

25.4%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

27.3%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Juan's form might have worsened.

Aoiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Juan than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Juan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aoiz than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

San Juan - Aoiz Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: ) and 12).

San Juan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aoiz is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

San Juan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, San Juan is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	AD San Juan	8	3	2	3	14:9	5	11
9	Aoiz	8	2	4	2	7:6	1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD San Juan
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
24.01.26	San Juan - Beti Onak	3:1 ✺
11.01.26	Ardoi - San Juan	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	San Juan - Beti Kozkor	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Peña Sport - San Juan	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	San Juan - Egüés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WTTLT
- CD Aoiz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
24.01.26	Aoiz - Oberena	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Beti Onak - Aoiz	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Izarra - Aoiz	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Aoiz - Bidezarra	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Ardoi - Aoiz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTTWT

San Juan - Aoiz