Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 6

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday


	San Juan		Gernika

	1	X	2
	3.75	3	1.88
	4	3.2	1.95	Watch
	4.3	3.1	1.91
	4.15	3.14	1.85
	4.2	3	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.08 ↑ (3.68)	3.09 ↓ (3.32)	1.9 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Juan
22.4%

Draw
29.6%

Gernika
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

27.3%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

26.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Juan than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

San Juan - Gernika Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Recent matches San Juan is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gernika is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gernika could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gernika is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches San Juan won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams San Juan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD San Juan
Spanish Copa Federacion
04.10.23	Badalona Futur - San Juan	3:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
30.09.23	Real Sociedad C - San Juan	4:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
27.09.23	San Juan - Penya Independent	3:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
23.09.23	San Juan - Náxara	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Tudelano - San Juan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWWL
- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.10.23	Gernika - Mutilvera	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Zaragoza B - Gernika	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Gernika - Alavés B	3:1 ✺
09.09.23	Egüés - Gernika	0:1 ✺
03.09.23	Gernika - Izarra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
07.05.23	Gernika - San Juan	0:1
07.01.23	San Juan - Gernika	0:1
19.02.22	San Juan - Gernika	1:1
03.10.21	Gernika - San Juan	1:1

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