Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday


	San Juan		Numancia

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.2
	3.25	3.2	2.15
	3.3	3.2	2.16
	3.48	3.08	2.17
	3.4	3.1	2.25
	3.4	3.18	2.17	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (3.15)	3.18 ↓ (3.3)	2.18 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Juan
28.1%

Draw
29.3%

Numancia
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

28.2%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

27.9%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Juan than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

San Juan - Numancia Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. San Juan will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Numancia will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

San Juan is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Numancia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Numancia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Numancia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD San Juan
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.11.22	San Juan - Izarra	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Tudelano - San Juan	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	San Juan - Sestao	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Real Sociedad C - San Juan	2:1 ✺
08.10.22	San Juan - Racing Rioja	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLTLT
- CD Numancia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.11.22	Atlético Baleares - Numancia	4:1 ✺
29.10.22	Numancia - Athletic Bilbao B	0:0 ✺
22.10.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Numancia	1:0 ✺
16.10.22	Calahorra - Numancia	0:0 ✺
08.10.22	Numancia - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLTW

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