Match Info

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos (Soria)


	Numancia		Athletic Bilbao B

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.2	4
	1.83	3.1	4
	1.95	3	3.7
	1.87	3.15	3.9
	1.84	3.32	4.53
	1.8	3.24	4.55
	1.91	3.25	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.93)	3.18 ↑ (3.1)	4.1 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
49%

Draw
28.7%

Athletic Bilbao B
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

29.5%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

29.3%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Numancia - Athletic Bilbao B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Numancia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Athletic Bilbao B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Numancia is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Numancia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Numancia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.10.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Numancia	1:0 ✺
16.10.22	Calahorra - Numancia	0:0 ✺
08.10.22	Numancia - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Amorebieta - Numancia	1:2 ✺
25.09.22	Numancia - La Nucía	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTWWW
- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.10.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Murcia	0:3 ✺
16.10.22	Amorebieta - Athletic Bilbao B	3:0 ✺
09.10.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Intercity	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Calahorra - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.09.22	Leioa - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.08.19	Numancia - Athletic Bilbao B	2:2
05.08.17	Numancia - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
12.03.16	Numancia - Athletic Bilbao B	3:2
10.10.15	Athletic Bilbao B - Numancia	0:0

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