Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 14

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	San Marcial		Villegas

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.4
	1.91	3.39	3.87
	1.89	3.41	3.78
	1.89	3.32	3.7
	1.86	3.33	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.94)	3.34 ↑ (3.25)	3.71 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Marcial
48.1%

Draw
27.3%

Villegas
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

28%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

29.6%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Marcial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Villegas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcial than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villegas than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

San Marcial - Villegas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

San Marcial may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Villegas has had a series of home games.

San Marcial will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACD San Marcial
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
23.11.25	San Marcial - Comillas	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Vianés - San Marcial	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	San Marcial - Arnedo	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Yagüe - San Marcial	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	La Calzada - San Marcial	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LLTTW
- CD Villegas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
05.12.25	Villegas - La Calzada	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Villegas - Peña Balsamaiso	3:2 ✺
02.11.25	Villegas - Berceo	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	UD Logroñés Promesas - Villegas	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Villegas - Oyonesa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWWLL

San Marcial - Villegas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide