Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 13

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday


	Villegas		La Calzada

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.35	1.8
	3.89	3.58	1.81
	1.95	3.79	3.28	Watch
	4	3.3	1.8
	4.18	3.38	1.77
	3.66	3.5	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (3.35)	3.48 ↑ (3.35)	2.05 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Villegas
26.4%

Draw
27.3%

La Calzada
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villegas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

La Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villegas than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Villegas - La Calzada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

La Calzada may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

La Calzada is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Villegas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Including home match between the teams, Villegas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Villegas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
15.11.25	Villegas - Peña Balsamaiso	3:2 ✺
02.11.25	Villegas - Berceo	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	UD Logroñés Promesas - Villegas	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Villegas - Oyonesa	0:3 ✺
12.10.25	Pradejón - Villegas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLLL
- CDFC La Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
23.11.25	La Calzada - Calahorra	3:2 ✺
16.11.25	Comillas - La Calzada	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	La Calzada - Vianés	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Arnedo - La Calzada	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	La Calzada - San Marcial	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
05.12.19	Villegas - La Calzada	0:2

Villegas - La Calzada: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide