Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 6

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	San Marino Academy U22		Murata

	1	X	2
	4.35	3.79	1.63
	4.39	3.62	1.70	Watch
	4.72	3.72	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↑ (4.39)	3.71 ↑ (3.62)	1.65 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Marino Academy U22
20.3%

Draw
24.5%

Murata
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

25.3%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

21.9%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Marino Academy U22 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Murata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marino Academy U22 than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murata than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Murata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Marino Academy U22 - Murata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Socciarelli M. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Zavoli D. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
55', 0 - 3, Gashi E. ⚽,
60', 0 - 4, Kashari E. ⚽, Tomassoni L. (A),
65', 1 - 4, Tamagnini S. ⚽, Valentini F. (A),
76', 1 - 5, Labas J. ⚽, Cirillo F. (A),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 16).

San Marino Academy is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Murata's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

San Marino Academy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Murata is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, San Marino Academy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:11. (average 0.3:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, San Marino Academy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.5:4.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Marino Academy U22
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
04.10.25	San Marino Academy U22 - Virtus	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	San Marino Academy U22 - Tre Fiori	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	Tre Penne - San Marino Academy U22	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	San Marino Academy U22 - La Fiorita	0:5 ✺
29.08.25	AC Libertas - San Marino Academy U22	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- SS Murata
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
05.10.25	Murata - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Murata - Folgore	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	La Fiorita - Murata	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Cailungo - Murata	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Murata - Faetano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
16.03.25	San Marino Academy U22 - Murata	1:2
13.04.24	San Marino Academy U22 - Murata	0:7
06.01.24	Murata - San Marino Academy U22	2:0

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