Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 5

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Murata		AC Libertas

	1	X	2
	1.84	3.58	3.34
	1.93	3.44	3.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.13)	3.51 ↓ (3.59)	3.4 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murata
47.8%

Draw
25.7%

AC Libertas
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

25.3%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Murata's performance.

AC Libertas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AC Libertas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Murata - AC Libertas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murata won 3.

AC Libertas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Murata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Murata will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Murata won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Murata won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Murata
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
28.09.25	Murata - Folgore	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	La Fiorita - Murata	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Cailungo - Murata	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Murata - Faetano	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Murata - Faetano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- AC Libertas
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
27.09.25	AC Libertas - San Giovanni	1:0 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
23.09.25	Cailungo - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
19.09.25	AC Libertas - Cailungo	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Domagnano - AC Libertas	5:2 ✺
29.08.25	AC Libertas - San Marino Academy U22	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
08.02.25	Murata - AC Libertas	1:0
06.10.24	AC Libertas - Murata	1:0
23.01.24	Murata - AC Libertas	1:0
23.09.23	AC Libertas - Murata	1:4
15.04.23	AC Libertas - Murata	0:0
08.01.23	Murata - AC Libertas	2:3
12.02.22	AC Libertas - Murata	3:0

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