Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 4

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Murata		Folgore

	1	X	2
	4.29	3.26	1.76
	4.26	3.23	1.86	Watch
	4.37	3.55	1.7
	3.35	3.35	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (2.5)	3.35 (3.35)	1.83 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murata
22.5%

Draw
27.4%

Folgore
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

27.1%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Murata's form might have worsened.

Folgore has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Folgore's recent form is better than expected.

Murata - Folgore Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 0 - 1, Daidola G. ⚽,
58', 0 - 2, Daidola G. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murata won 1.

Folgore may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Murata won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:22. (average 0.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Murata won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Murata
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
21.09.25	La Fiorita - Murata	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Cailungo - Murata	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Murata - Faetano	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Murata - Faetano	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	La Fiorita - Murata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Folgore Falciano Calcio
San Marino Coppa Titano
24.09.25	Folgore - La Fiorita	0:0 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
21.09.25	Folgore - Faetano	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Virtus - Folgore	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Folgore - Cailungo	3:0 ✺
06.05.25	San Giovanni - Folgore	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
08.03.25	Murata - Folgore	0:1
08.11.24	Folgore - Murata	1:0
San Marino Coppa Titano
23.10.24	Murata - Folgore	0:0
24.09.24	Folgore - Murata	1:0
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
03.03.24	Murata - Folgore	1:0
11.11.23	Folgore - Murata	0:2
25.02.23	Murata - Folgore	0:2

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