Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	San Marino Calcio		Castelfidardo

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.49	3.34
	2.10	3.21	3.27	Watch
	2.08	3.2	3.28
	2.12	3.15	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.11)	3.26 ↑ (3.18)	3.29 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Marino Calcio
44.3%

Draw
27.9%

Castelfidardo
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

28.7%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

27.6%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Marino Calcio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marino Calcio than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

San Marino Calcio - Castelfidardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.

San Marino might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Marino Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
12.10.25	UniPomezia - San Marino Calcio	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	San Marino Calcio - Atletico Ascoli	0:3 ✺
24.09.25	Ancona - San Marino Calcio	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	San Marino Calcio - Ostia Mare	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	San Marino Calcio - Termoli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL
- Castelfidardo Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
12.10.25	Castelfidardo - Atletico Ascoli	1:6 ✺
05.10.25	Termoli - Castelfidardo	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Castelfidardo - Ancona	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Notaresco - Castelfidardo	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Castelfidardo - L Aquila	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLLL

San Marino Calcio - Castelfidardo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide