The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Marino Calcio 30.8%
Draw 29.6%
UniPomezia 39.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
27.7%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
28.4%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marino Calcio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Marino Calcio's form might have worsened.
UniPomezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UniPomezia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marino Calcio than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marino Calcio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UniPomezia than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UniPomezia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Marino Calcio - UniPomezia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 4)
56', 0 - 1, ⚽,
62', 0 - 2, ⚽,
69', 0 - 3, ⚽,
84', 0 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ))
San Marino is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
UniPomezia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Marino won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Last Results with these Odds
San Marino Calcio - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.06%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.