Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	UniPomezia		Fossombrone

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.15	2.58
	2.49	3.2	2.64	Watch
	2.44	3.15	2.59
	2.5	3.33	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.44)	3.21 ↓ (3.43)	2.58 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UniPomezia
36.7%

Draw
28.2%

Fossombrone
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

26.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

26.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UniPomezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Fossombrone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UniPomezia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

UniPomezia - Fossombrone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
54', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 8).

UniPomezia is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Fossombrone is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Fossombrone	6	3	1	2	6:9	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD UniPomezia
Italian Serie D - Group F
04.01.26	Teramo - UniPomezia	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Vigor Senigallia - UniPomezia	3:2 ✺
14.12.25	UniPomezia - Sora	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Maceratese - UniPomezia	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.12.25	UniPomezia - Ancona	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- FC Fossombrone
Italian Serie D - Group F
04.01.26	Fossombrone - Chieti	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Fossombrone - Recanatese	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Castelfidardo - Fossombrone	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Fossombrone - Atletico Ascoli	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ancona - Fossombrone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWLTW

UniPomezia - Fossombrone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide