Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	San Marino Calcio		Recanatese

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.05	2.62
	2.88	2.88	2.45
	2.79	3	2.5	Watch
	2.75	2.75	2.5
	2.56	3.39	2.61
	2.9	2.9	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.38)	3 ↓ (3.2)	2.52 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Marino Calcio
33.4%

Draw
30.4%

Recanatese
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

28%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

26.9%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Marino Calcio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Recanatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marino Calcio than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marino Calcio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

San Marino Calcio - Recanatese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Pesaresi L. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

San Marino might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Recanatese	6	1	3	2	8:9	-1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Marino Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
25.01.26	San Marino Calcio - Ancona	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Ostia Mare - San Marino Calcio	5:0 ✺
11.01.26	San Marino Calcio - L Aquila	1:3 ✺
04.01.26	Termoli - San Marino Calcio	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Sammaurese - San Marino Calcio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLTT
- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie D - Group F
25.01.26	Recanatese - L Aquila	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Termoli - Recanatese	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Recanatese - Sammaurese	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Notaresco - Recanatese	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Fossombrone - Recanatese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWTLL

San Marino Calcio - Recanatese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide