Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	San Martín		Ceares

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.98	2.45
	2.76	2.89	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.8)	2.94 ↑ (2.9)	2.46 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 11.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín
32.8%

Draw
30.6%

Ceares
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

31.3%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

30.5%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Ceares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceares than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

San Martín - Ceares Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Including home match between the teams, San Martín won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EI San Martín
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
16.11.25	Caudal Deportivo - San Martín	3:3 ✺
09.11.25	San Martín - Club Siero	5:2 ✺
02.11.25	Navarro - San Martín	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	San Martín - Gijón Industrial	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Praviano - San Martín	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWWLT
- UC Ceares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
16.11.25	Ceares - Covadonga	2:3 ✺
09.11.25	Avilés Stadium - Ceares	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Ceares - Llanera	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Real Titánico - Ceares	0:5 ✺
19.10.25	Ceares - Llanes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
19.01.25	Ceares - San Martín	2:0
08.09.24	San Martín - Ceares	0:2

San Martín - Ceares: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide