The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Llanera 41.9%
Draw 30.3%
Covadonga 27.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
28.9%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
27.2%
26.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Llanera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanera than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Llanera - Covadonga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
16', 0 - 1, Arias A. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Cueto G. ⚽,
37', 0 - 3, Toquero ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 0 - 4, Toquero ⚽,
85', 0 - 5, Cueto G. ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llanera won 1.
Llanera has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Covadonga is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Llanera might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Llanera won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Llanera won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
Watch
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