Match Info

Primera B - Round 23

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Francisco Boga Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	San Martín de Burzaco		Liniers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.60	2.65	2.75
	2.32	2.80	3.05	Watch
	2.85	2.73	2.95
	2.79	2.53	2.94	Watch
	2.80	2.45	2.90
	2.85	2.50	3.00	Watch
	2.65	2.60	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.42)	2.61 ↓ (2.73)	2.91 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de Burzaco
33.8%

Draw
34.9%

Liniers
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

33%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

31.9%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de Burzaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Liniers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liniers than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

San Martín de Burzaco - Liniers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gagliardo M. (G) 6. Barrera N. 9. Chavez B. 11. Gauna N. A. 8. Gonzalez R. 2. Lazarev R. 4. Modon S. 5. Peralta R. 3. Siliman A. 10. Treppo E. 7. Velazquez R.	1. Rotundo M. (G) 3. Canosa J. 4. Di Motta R. (C) 2. Formichelli S. 10. Gallegos E. 9. Gauna B. 11. Gridel M. 6. Lugarzo L. 5. Palacio S. 8. Penoni A. 7. Sallaberry I.
Substitutes
19. Costa L. 16. Diaz R. 14. Escudero M. 17. Juarez F. 18. Lezcano L. 12. Marchesi N. (G) 13. Rodriguez J. 15. Tobon J. 20. Zagert E.	17. Auzqui D. 13. Bouvier J. 20. Coria T. 12. De Feliche C. (G) 15. Fiordeliso M. 19. Linas M. 14. Pereyra E. 16. Rodon F. 18. Rodriguez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Treppo E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Modon S. 🟨,
58', Penoni A. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
58', Gauna B. ↓, Linas M. ↑,
66', Sallaberry I. 🟨,
68', Gauna N. A. 🟨,
70', 1 - 1, Gallegos E. ⚽,
74', Gauna N. A. ↓, Zagert E. ↑,
76', Sallaberry I. ↓, Coria T. ↑,
76', Gallegos E. ↓, Auzqui D. ↑,
79', Lugarzo L. 🟨,
81', Palacio S. 🟨,
82', Velazquez R. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
84', Lazarev R. 🟨,
88', Modon S. ↓, Escudero M. ↑,
88', Treppo E. ↓, Costa L. ↑,
90', Gridel M. ↓, Fiordeliso M. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

SM de Burzaco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

SM de Burzaco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1:11. (average 0.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, SM de Burzaco won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	San Martin Burzaco	38	12	14	12	39:41	-2	50
17	Liniers	38	10	13	15	31:39	-8	43

Last Results with these Odds

San Martín de Burzaco - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.35%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Liniers - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.62%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de Burzaco
Argentinian Primera B
27.06.26	Real Pilar - San Martín de Burzaco	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	UAI Urquiza - San Martín de Burzaco	0:0 ✺
12.06.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Villa Dálmine	0:2 ✺
06.06.26	Excursionistas - San Martín de Burzaco	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTLLW
- CSD Liniers
Argentinian Primera B
28.06.26	Liniers - Villa San Carlos	1:1 ✺
19.06.26	Ituzaingó - Liniers	1:1 ✺
14.06.26	Liniers - Real Pilar	0:1 ✺
08.06.26	UAI Urquiza - Liniers	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Liniers - Villa Dálmine	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
22.02.26	Liniers - San Martín de Burzaco	0:0
19.07.25	San Martín de Burzaco - Liniers	0:0
02.03.25	Liniers - San Martín de Burzaco	5:0
01.11.24	San Martín de Burzaco - Liniers	0:1
15.06.24	Liniers - San Martín de Burzaco	1:0
Argentinian Primera C
12.06.23	Liniers - San Martín de Burzaco	1:0
04.02.23	San Martín de Burzaco - Liniers	0:0

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