Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 15

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	San Roque de Lepe		Espeleño

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.4	3.8
	1.8	3.45	3.95
	1.72	3.36	4.08
	1.76	3.51	4.25
	1.75	3.54	4.12
	1.8	3.45	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.17)	3.45 ↑ (3.1)	4.03 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Roque de Lepe
51.3%

Draw
26.2%

Espeleño
22.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

30.1%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Roque de Lepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Roque de Lepe's performance.

Espeleño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Espeleño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Roque de Lepe than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Roque de Lepe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espeleño than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Espeleño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Roque de Lepe - Espeleño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 14).

San Roque de Lepe is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Espeleño is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match San Roque de Lepe is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches San Roque de Lepe won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams San Roque de Lepe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Roque de Lepe
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
08.12.24	Cartaya - San Roque de Lepe	3:0 ✺
01.12.24	San Roque de Lepe - Pozoblanco	0:3 ✺
24.11.24	Inter Sevilla - San Roque de Lepe	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	San Roque de Lepe - Sevilla C	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Atlético Central - San Roque de Lepe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTTL
- CA Espeleño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
08.12.24	Espeleño - Bollullos	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	Atlético Onubense - Espeleño	5:0 ✺
24.11.24	Espeleño - Tomares	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Coria CF - Espeleño	3:1 ✺
10.11.24	Espeleño - Córdoba B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
10.03.19	Espeleño - San Roque de Lepe	1:0
01.11.18	San Roque de Lepe - Espeleño	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
01.10.17	Espeleño - San Roque de Lepe	1:2

San Roque de Lepe - Espeleño