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Current Win Probability
Atlético Central 33%
Draw 33.3%
San Roque de Lepe 33.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.3%
28%
25.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
26.5%
24.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Central's form might have worsened.
San Roque de Lepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Roque de Lepe's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Central than the current prediction. (+16%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Roque de Lepe than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Roque de Lepe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético Central - San Roque de Lepe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Makuemimo M. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Gomez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 1 - 2, Garcia V. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 3, Gonzalez J. ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: ) and 12).
Recent performances by Atlético Central have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
San Roque de Lepe is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Atlético Central might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlético Central won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, Atlético Central won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.